In baseball circles, Septembers excitement is bet on only when to that which follows in October. The divider and wild card races ar hotter than Texas mineral pitch in July. Indeed, it may be September that is ?the cruelest month, for it is September that go away decide which MLB teams go to the playoffs, and who goes home. More classically, before the month is done, fallacy coalitions go away be won and alienated ¦ and that holds true redden for teams mired in finally define.         Theres nonhing glamorous ab come forth be a ? wine cellar dweller and fantasy owners do non forethought for being in that position any more than the Pirates safeguard to get under ones skin the worst record in baseball. However, fantasy owners go through an reward oer the Buccos ¦ they squirt be sure they do non repeat their sable finish beside duration. They open fire distinguish from their misfortune to discover history does not repeat itself.         The outset couple of locomote toward this involve ascertaining what landed a fantasy team in last place to begin with. Injuries solely are rarely enough to banish a team to the bottom of the standings. Generally, at that place are other, more pressing, deficiencies ? poor worker performances or errors in pseudo evaluation are more likely the nucleus of the problem.         First, look at ?poor player performance. There amass in been several key players this year who pay off not produced up to expectations ¦ poor performances are a single out of the game. Despite posting hit look of 0.80 and 0.82, respectively, Shawn Green and the great unwashed Griffey, Jr. have a bun in the oven been among the macroscopicalgest disappointments (especially of higher round picks). However, despite their minuscular than stellar production in around areas, their Batting eye and other indicators (especially since the All-Star Break for Griff ey) point to watchd promise. In instances ! such(prenominal) as these, it is often gruelling to predict such a production fall-off. Is it the change over to the National League that illogical these hitters? Is it the change to less-hitter friendly ballparks? Or is it merely a blip on the radar screen? If nothing else, the leading indicators estimate the latter.         If that is not the case, because, import, owners need to find where they have gone injure in player evaluation. Overvalued players sens decimate a teams chances. bell ringer Bush, for example, had neer hit for lower than a .320 total preceding to this season (though 1999 was his first full season in the big leagues). That, irrefutable his 32 steals, plus the likelihood that he would be contact near the top of a very blind drunk Toronto add-in come him pretty a trendy pick among second basemen. However, coming into the 2000 season, he possessed a dismal escape valve Batting Eye of 0.26 ¦ and going into September 2000, he quarter be found hitting a robust .215 with 6 steals, sharing time with Craig Grebeck when healthy, and hitting near the bottom of the foul up when he does play. That is the bod of disastrous over-valuation that can end a season early.         It can be im executable to predict portentous blips on the radar screen ¦ but, like injuries, those seldom ascendent in a total disaster. However, with a little homework, owners can avoid overvaluing players.         The last step toward success is building for conterminous year. speckle it is true that the 2000 fantasy leagues can be broken and won this month, the 2001 fantasy leagues can be as well. For steward leagues with late trading dead byplays, there might assu mount up be time to swing a deal ¦ for non-keeper leagues or for those who have al articulatey passed their deadline, it is time to start making a in short list for next season. It is not difficult to know what old hand s to place at the top of the list, but then it is sel! dom that a leagues first few picks bequeath vary in like manner oftentimes from other leagues. Instead, it is the middle rounds where the difference will be made ¦ and those are usually the rounds when the promising junior talents start to go.         aspect at four younger players that have begun to make their mark this season (Troy Glaus, Lance Berkman, Gabe Kapler, and Richard Hidalgo), the growth on the same indicators referred to preceding begins to hash itself out.         Glaus, despite a dim July, is hitting .279 with 38 HRs. He has also seen a +0.
16 swing in his B atting Eye (meaning it is 0.16 points higher than 1999) ¦ which indicates that he is soundless growing as a hitter. At age 24, it is relatively safe to espouse that he will continue to improve in the eld to come. The same can be said for Berkman (+0.27 Eye) and Kapler (+0.04 Eye). Each of these players are seeing improvements over their 1999 BA and HR outputs (with the exception on Kaplers HR total, though his slugging fairish remains strong). Hidalgo, likewise, has shown an increase over his 1999 BA and HR totals ¦ in fact, even in an overt down year for the Astros, he has achieved career highs in more or less all(prenominal) category. The bad news is that his Eye has tumbled from a 0.77 in 1999 to 0.45. While many of that can be attributed to swinging for the fences at Coors dead (Enron Field), declining plate discipline is typically followed by a moderate in production. Perhaps it will be the owners that crisscross on Hidalgo in 2001 who will find themselves i n the cellar ¦ he is certainly a candidate for an of! f year.         Owners who still have trades available as an option, should run, not walk, to contending teams and begin obtain for some of these younger talents ¦ though it may already be too late for some of these examples there are still some players out there who could be trade hinge on for a contending team. Also, in keeper leagues, keep in read/write head that PLAYERS are overmuch more important than KEEPER SLOTS to contending teams responsibility now ¦ after the season it will be much the opposite. Thus, it might be very possible to swing a deal now with an aging veteran or an average pitcher for an extra keeper schedule - which can be dealt away after the season for the kind of player that would make more of a difference in 2001.         The bottom line is simple ? in every league there is someone who will finish in last place. However, those owners have not lost unless they have failed to learn from the experience. If you desire to get a full essay, order it on our website:
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